The PSOE would win the general elections if they were held today with an advantage of 2.3 points over the Popular Party, according to the electoral barometer of the Sociological Research Center (CIS) corresponding to February. The survey was carried out in the midst of a crisis due to the reduction in sentences for sexual offenders after the entry into force of the law of only yes is yes. Those of Pedro Sánchez widen the gap over those of Alberto Núñez Feijóo, although the popular ones go up more than one point in the vote estimate. The survey of the organization directed by José Félix Tezanos reflects a stagnation of the vote for Vox (repeats 10%), while United We Can falls 1.5 points compared to January. Ciudadanos, for their part, drops almost one point, which means losing a third of the support they had in the previous barometer. Sánchez and Feijóo tie in citizen evaluation (both fail with a grade of 4.34 out of 10). In this field, Yolanda Díaz continues to stand out (with a 4.91, scraping the pass).

The survey reflects a certain stability in the left and right blocks, with the PSOE and the PP on the rise in their respective sectors. The Socialists would obtain 32.1% of the votes in the whole of Spain, compared to the 29.8% that the popular ones would obtain. The third electoral position is occupied by Unidas Podemos, with 12.7%, followed by Vox, stuck at around 10% since November. Ciudadanos fights not to fall below the 2% that the barometer awards it this month (compared to the previous 2.9%). Of the polls published in recent weeks on vote estimates, the CIS is the only one that gives the PSOE a victory over the PP. However, in the barometer presented this Friday, the PP is 0.6 points ahead of the PSOE in direct intention to vote, something that was already happening in the January survey.

After them, it is in sixth position of estimated vote over the Spanish total ERC (2%), followed by EH Bildu, Junts (1.1%), PNV (0.8%), Más País (0, 7%), BNG and Compromís, both with 0.6%, and NA+ and the CUP, both with 0.5%.

The 3,935 interviews with citizens for this survey have been carried out between February 1 and 11, in the midst of a dispute between Socialists and Podemos, government partners, over the continuous trickle of reductions in sentences for sexual offenders as a result of the Law of the Comprehensive Guarantee of Sexual Freedom, the so-called law of only yes is yes, as well as in full controversy over the positions of the PP of Alberto Núñez Feijóo on abortion in Spain.